More polls

The overall pro-Romney trend is not stopping, but continues. Yesterday PPP, a Democratic polling organization, found Romney up by one percent in New Hampshire. PPP’s previous poll of that state, in August, had Obama leading by six. (Romney leads in New Hampshire by one point in the RCP Average.) In Iowa, PPP also has Romney up by one point in a poll completed yesterday. PPP’s previous poll in Iowa, in late September, had Obama up by seven. At the same time, an NBC/WSJ/Marist poll completed on October 17 showed Obama ahead in Iowa by eight, which was the same margin that poll found a month ago. The current RCP Average for Iowa is an Obama lead of 2.4.

Also, several polls, including one by the leftist Daily Kos and the leftist Service Employees International Union (SEIU), show Romney leading Obama in favorability for the first time.

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UPDATE: And here’s another undeniably impressive sign of the current trend. Rasmussen does a seven-day tracking poll of the swing states together—Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. As of October 20, Romney is up by 50 percent to 46 percent in the swing states, a one point increase from the day before. Given that this poll is done by the respected Rasmussen, and given that the four percent Romney lead is an average for all the swing states, in which the signs were most unpromising for Romney just three weeks ago, this is remarkable.

Posted by Lawrence Auster at October 20, 2012 01:47 PM | Send